Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 913.666807 1037.769208 1177.746078 1348.364859 1552.124607 1789.431647 2089.323888
2025-01-26 757.309162 924.014868 1130.680175 1410.093575 1784.921768 2280.749594 3004.510966
2025-02-02 668.913155 852.122287 1092.802295 1440.400484 1944.056952 2671.824323 3852.413487
2025-02-09 599.633992 790.163774 1052.267359 1451.748910 2069.309421 3032.899302 4753.232248
2025-02-16 540.735307 732.053560 1005.206526 1440.406573 2150.979116 3336.239322 5643.684131
2025-02-23 507.176204 704.510465 996.501574 1482.373349 2320.331049 3817.564352 7015.127989
2025-03-02 481.259346 684.373445 994.960480 1533.241806 2511.549363 4381.949202 8773.569452
2025-03-09 453.078822 657.245184 978.341079 1554.868417 2652.536096 4884.470757 10616.413217
2025-03-16 423.312595 624.393329 948.230294 1547.551192 2735.768793 5288.286041 12409.917582
2025-03-23 403.878916 606.061022 939.789329 1577.392464 2897.450507 5908.949147 15140.019636
2025-03-30 372.952455 566.099264 890.215203 1522.949724 2872.506814 6084.002203 16623.607773
2025-04-06 346.413074 531.392574 846.575975 1474.380356 2851.594318 6264.415328 18245.677571
2025-04-13 320.769763 497.027747 801.767297 1420.668762 2816.098086 6415.801258 19952.173151
2025-04-20 313.744485 494.239308 813.921602 1484.565958 3068.600930 7449.401330 26095.238594
2025-04-27 303.202171 484.276818 811.561617 1517.390878 3253.103666 8360.303333 32767.260460
2025-05-04 291.035065 470.412511 800.382466 1529.438220 3387.716828 9173.113833 40050.924475
2025-05-11 277.194081 452.472178 779.643609 1517.327710 3455.727299 9793.376957 47176.323131
2025-05-18 270.566258 447.318771 783.570571 1562.206758 3692.953058 11140.613964 61839.267726
2025-05-25 265.232576 444.145023 791.092819 1616.643150 3972.899038 12816.652278 83641.861978
2025-06-01 257.223179 435.272618 786.042703 1639.796993 4164.843279 14246.598216 108075.108538
2025-06-08 247.017977 421.472236 769.482220 1631.962306 4257.291453 15289.373238 132383.261703
2025-06-15 240.881046 415.224922 768.456571 1663.918566 4491.041050 17187.181700 178788.732844
2025-06-22 227.858459 394.563625 734.662256 1605.626313 4401.299984 17347.593681 197388.486383